MTG Commander guides

The written side of the site: long-form answers to the Commander questions that don't reduce to a single number, plus the analysis pages that back them up.

Everything here is free and needs no account. Where a guide quotes a number, that number is computed rather than repeated — and where the sample behind it is thin, the page says so instead of rounding the doubt away.

Which one answers your question?

Three guides is a short list, so here is the honest routing — including the cases where the answer lives somewhere else on the site:

• “How much ramp does my deck want?” Read how much ramp should a Commander deck run. The number follows your commander's cost and your curve, and the guide shows exactly what each package size buys. If your question is whether rocks let you cut lands, that is its own page.
• “Am I actually winning enough?” Read what's a good win rate in Commander. The bar is lower than most players assume, and the number of games needed to clear it convincingly is much higher.
• “Will this card move my deck up a bracket?” The Game Changers list has the cards and the rules. If you want a specific decklist read rather than the reasoning, the bracket checker counts them for you.
• “How many sources of this color do I need?” That is mana math, and it lives in the tools section — a calculator, a decklist audit, and written guides by color count and deck type.
• “Is this deck or product worth the money?” The analysis pages below price real products at the exact printings in the box, refreshed nightly.
• “How does this commander actually perform?” That is the commander pages, one per commander, built from games real pods logged rather than from decklists people uploaded.

How these guides are written

Every figure is computed, not quoted. The probability in the win rate guide runs the same arithmetic as the baseline printed under the stats on this site's deck and commander pages — deliberately, so the guide and the app can never contradict each other about what an even share of the wins would be. The ramp guide's odds come from the same hypergeometric engine as every mana calculator in the tools section. The Game Changers list is read from live card data rather than typed out, which is why the count on this page, on the list itself and in the bracket checker always agree.

Where a number is missing it is left out rather than estimated. A stat with only a handful of games behind it carries that caveat on its face, and a price the site doesn't have is blank rather than zero. That is a deliberate choice, and it is why these pages sometimes have visible gaps where a tidier site would show a confident-looking figure.

FAQ

What is the difference between a guide and a tool on this site?

A tool takes something you give it — a decklist, a deck size, a pip count — and hands back a number. A guide takes a question that has no single-number answer and works through it, showing the arithmetic on the way. They point at each other on purpose: most guides finish at a tool, and most tools link the guide that explains what their number actually means at a table.

Do I need an account to read these guides?

No. Every guide is an ordinary page and nothing on it is gated or metered. An account only matters for the parts of the site that store your own data — the game log, deck builder, collection tracker and your personal stats — and those are free too.

Are these guides based on real games or on theory?

Both, and each page says which. The win rate guide is probability, computed by the same code that prints the baseline on this site's deck and commander pages, so a figure you read in the guide and a figure you read on a deck page cannot disagree. The Game Changers page reports the official list as Wizards maintains it, re-read from live card data every week. Neither is a summary of anyone's opinion about what wins.

How often are these guides updated?

The parts that can change are refreshed on a schedule. The Game Changers list is re-checked against live card data weekly, so a revision from Wizards appears here without anyone editing the page, and the card counts quoted across the site move together. Probability does not go out of date, so the win rate guide's figures stand; its prose is edited when something on the site changes what it should say.